Week 10: The Great Depression

World at War

Existing Hidden Economic Problems

  • Wages falling behind productivity
    • In USA, 5% of population owns 33% of wealth
  • Gap between goods produced and discretionary income.
  • Tariffs limiting international trade

Financial Crises before 1929

  • Business Cycles.
    • Things grow and then contract.
  • Central banks not proactive in managing money supply.
  • Volatile economy.
    • 1920-21 recession.
      • 11% unemployment.
      • Hyperinflation in Germany.

USA Role in Global economy

  • Allies owe USA $10.35 billion ($184.33 billion in 2002).
  • Weimar Republic owes $6.6 billion in reparations.
  • Dawes Plan (1924)
    • Reduces and reschedule payments
    • USA loans to Germany to pay reparations.
    • Germany pays UK and France.
    • UK and France pay USA.
  • USA is the world’s banker.

Stock Market Crass of 1929

  • Oct 24 - Oct. 29, 1929: stock market ↓ 50%.
  • Typical crisis:
    • 1901, 1907, 1914, 1920-21, 1923, 1926.
  • But this time it was different.
    • Bigger crash.
    • More integrated global economy.

USA Depression goes Global

  • USA raises tariffs by 20% in 1930 (Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act).
  • Other countries retaliate.
  • Remember the Dawes Plan cycle?
  • Global trade ↓ by 66% between 1929 and 1934.
  • Countries abandon Gold Standard to devalue currency.
  • Global GDP ↓ by 15% between 1929 and 1934.

Social Impact

  • Loss of millions of jobs.
    • 25% labor force in UK unemployed by 1933.
    • 40% of Germans unemployed by 1932.
  • Responded with Traditional Economic policy.
    • Balanced budgets.
    • High tariffs.
    • Raise interest rates.